Is an oversized Daikin really a problem?

Sorry yes the old data is there! great! here’s the change over:

https://emoncms.org/app/view?name=MyHeatpump&readkey=bbd1cd04728bd8c9f7acfb2ee51936d2&mode=power&start=1707048000&end=1709812800

COP jumps up from 3.98 over this first period with outside temp at ~7C:

up to 4.96 over this second period with the 8 kW unit installed:

Lower mean flow temperature delivers the results! and % carnot is a bit higher.

That’s 3 examples of just downsizing the unit resulting in pretty decent improvements in COP…

Here’s a very quick attempt at setting the oversizing factor based on compressor size of the Daikin’s , I’ve removed the daikin splits and HT models as they are another model range.

Maybe it’s just the reality that performance is dependent on so many other factors causing a wide spread of values that makes it appear like there is no trend when plotting oversizing factor vs SPF on the chart.