The Madoka has a hysteresis of 2c

If you have set 20.5c it will heat until the room gets to 21c (0.5c above set) and come back on at 19c (1.5c below set), Maybe just 0.1c to go as it was already at 21c at 14.38

The heat pump probably turned off the compressor at 42c because it exceeded the set lwt by 0.5c plus the 4c overshoot.

And later at 40c.

I guess you have a wdc and it was getting warmer outside so the request lwt went down?